Daily Newsletter

03 October 2024

Daily Newsletter

03 October 2024

How electric vehicles can help shape the future of the oil and gas industry

Expanding charging infrastructure presents huge challenges and opportunities for traditional oil and gas companies.

Smruthi Nadig September 19 2024

The adoption of battery electric vehicles (BEVs), also known as EVs, is increasing across most western societies. However, as their popularity grows, the infrastructure needed for charging them must also expand, prompting various industries to find new ways to meet rising demand.

One option would be smart grids, which offer a solution by working with renewable energy sources and facilitating efficient EV charging, claims a recent GlobalData report on oil and gas sector strategies in EVs. 

Oil and gas companies have had to adjust and diversify their investments and strategies in response to government and environmental pressures to reduce emissions.

One potential avenue for alternative investment is EV charging stations, which can complement their existing assets such as gas stations. 

However, argues GlobaData, not all major oil companies have chosen to expand into EV charging infrastructure, a decision that could have unfavourable consequences for their ongoing financial performance given the anticipated gradual decline in traditional fuel demand from 2030 onward.

Impact on oil and gas industry

The burgeoning growth of EVs presents a potential challenge for the oil and gas industry. Global EV sales are expected to hit ten million by 2025, potentially reducing oil demand by 350,000 barrels per day (bpd). This surge in popularity could dramatically alter oil consumption patterns, with projections suggesting that by 2040, EVs could displace more than 20 million barrels of oil daily.

For investors in the oil and gas industry, comprehending the essential role of EVs is crucial to understanding the broader energy landscape. Any transition away from more traditional energy sources will likely be gradual, contingent on advancing new technologies and increasing the use and acceptance of renewable energy.

However, according to Raj Shekhar, director of oil and gas at GlobalData, the increase in EV infrastructure may impact the current network of gas or fuel retail stations. 

Shekhar suggested that an alternative investment option could involve building more EV charging stations, as they complement existing assets. Many major oil companies are already preparing for EV adoption and have begun investing in, or expanding their presence with, EV charging stations. 

Shekhar said: “Companies are looking to roll out charge points through their existing retail outlets, which, in most cases, are operating at vantage locations in cities or busy highways that attract a sizeable number of vehicles on a daily basis, including EVs.”  

For instance, Shell began rolling out its first EV charging stations in 2017 and acquired a company called New Motion in the same year, which gave it immediate access to 30,000 stations across Europe. It also acquired Greenlots, a second company that provides EV charging solutions, in 2019.

BP began branching out in EV charging technologies by working with the US charging technology company FreeWire. FreeWire has a Boost Charger system that can raise three-phase power to 120kW using an extra battery, providing a fast-charging service installed anywhere in a couple of hours.

However, even if EVs decrease gasoline and oil demand, these hydrocarbons will still be essential. This is because various products obtained from crude oil processing, such as asphalt and lubricating oils, will continue to be needed in cars, trucks and vans – regardless of how popular EVs become.

“However, with the regulatory push, EVs might see better adoption in the mid-to-long-term future that would put a dent on these [transportation fuel] revenues, as gasoline and diesel demand is set to decline. Growth in natural gas consumption is still expected within power generation, which is the direct beneficiary in the EV market dynamics,” Shekhar added.

Evolving strategies

According to GlobalData, oil and gas companies are diversifying into renewable energy technologies and low-carbon solutions due to increasing pressure to clarify their position in the net-zero transition. However, oil and gas will continue to play a crucial part in the manufacture of materials for EVs and EV charging infrastructure.

Lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries – essential components of electric cars – contain electrolytes made from petrochemicals. Additionally, the electrodes in Li-ion batteries contain graphite and other materials derived from oil and gas. Petrochemicals are used to produce rubber for tyres, and petroleum-based oils are also used to cool and lubricate electric motors and powertrains.

Ravindra Jayant Puranik, GlobalData's associate project manager for oil and gas research, said: “Plastics are commonly used to produce moulded components in both the conventional vehicles running on internal combustion engines (ICE) and the EVs.”

He continued: “These include polyethene, polypropylene, polycarbonate, PVC and synthetic rubber (Styrene-butadiene Rubber) foams that are lightweight and offer considerable durability to withstand the vibrations that a vehicle would normally go through.”

He continued that some of these materials possess thermal and electrical insulation abilities, which can be beneficial as separators for cells in EV battery packs. Robust plastic is under assessment for its potential to serve as containers for EV batteries, possibly substituting aluminum or steel. Puranik believes this could decrease the overall battery weight and enhance EVs’ range.

Investments and outlook 

Not all major oil companies have decided to expand their operations into the EV charging space, and some have even stated that they have no plans to get involved. For now at least.

For instance, ExxonMobil does not plan to invest in EV charging stations as it believes it would not provide a significant competitive advantage or unique capabilities. The GlobalData report states that ConocoPhillips has not released any comments on its position, nor shown or announced an interest in investing in EV charging technologies.

Furthermore, in its environmental, social and governance (ESG) report published in August 2023, Valero, a fuel producer, revealed that it does not consider electrification the most effective or efficient solution for climate-friendly transportation. As a result, the company does not have plans to develop charging infrastructure for electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles.

Hydrogen has gained traction in recent years as an alternative form of energy. It is light, storable and does not produce direct carbon emissions or greenhouse gases when combusted. In fact, several major economies such as the US and the EU have laid out hydrogen road maps as the energy transition moves centre stage.

Shekhar added: “The oil-producing countries need to rejig their business operations and see possibilities in natural gas. Though oil production may not decrease abruptly, an increase in natural gas production is imminent. This has led the prominent oil-producing countries such as Saudi Arabia to look for quality gas fields in the country and elsewhere.”

According to Puranik, recently “companies are adopting a mix of organic and inorganic growth strategies to expand their presence in the EV charging space. The profits they generate from their core operations will finance investments in clean technologies, including EV charging and battery technologies.”

Although GlobalData says that most major oil companies have expressed their desire to expand their EV charging infrastructure, the data is varied. Shell and TotalEnergies are tied for the lead with more than 55,000 operational charging stations each globally, and have equally ambitious plans to grow their networks in the coming years.

Following closely behind are BP and Eni, which have extensive coverage and have announced intentions to more than double their charging network. The numbers drop significantly for Repsol, Orlen and Petronas, mainly because they have a smaller infrastructure to work with.

In the UK, the government announced in 2023 that it was looking to deploy 300,000 public EV charging points by 2030. However, the ambitious goal is complicated by the practicalities of installation, with companies needing to install 110 chargers a day. The current rate is 40 a day.

The growing adoption of EVs is transforming the oil and gas sector, introducing obstacles and prospects for established companies. Companies are expanding their portfolios and allocating resources to renewable energy to adjust to this. The shift will unfold gradually and necessitate advancements in innovative technologies, underscoring the importance of a well-rounded energy provisioning strategy.

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